If you are a value investor and we all should be, you are looking for bargains however recently the stock market has gone up and prices are more expensive. Is this a time to continue buying or hold or sell? Only in the future will you know the answer but there is always a relative bargain somewhere. Of course, sometimes it is for a reason. Peter Ashton of Recognia Inc examined large cap companies to see if there were any bargains (given this was published in late November, things may have changed but the process remains the same.
a minimum market capitalization of $5 billion. The idea being the larger the company the less the risk.
price to earnings ratio (P/E) of less than 15
annualized earnings per share (EPS) growth rate of 5% or more
debt to equity of 1.5% or less
5 year historical annualized dividend growth of more than 10%.
Company Mkt Cap P/E EPS Growth Debt to Equity Div Growth Div
($ Bil) est 5 yr his % Ratio 5 yr % Yield
MetLife 60.2 11.8 51.9 0.31 15.8 2.9
Cisco Systems 150.2 12.8 14.1 0.45 59.9 3.4
Lazard 5.3 14.3 65.9 0.80 23.4 3.8
Principal Financial 16.6 13.3 14.7 0.31 22.4 3.0
Amgen 107.4 12.7 15.5 1.15 61.7 2.8
Invesco 13.0 14.0 19.8 0.77 20.1 3.5
Ameriprise Financial 18.0 12.3 16.1 0.86 30.9 2.6
Xerox 9.4 8.2 10.3 0.77 11.2 3.3
Gap 10.3 13.9 6.5 0.68 18.8 3.6
Western Digital 17.5 13.1 10.0 1.22 26.7 3.3
Source: Recognia
Linking to dividend paying stocks, all these companies are paying dividends and for various reasons are lagging behind their peers and still offer good value. In terms of the risk return ratio, you are protected, if you want to buy the hottest stocks it may not be these ones, however if you dig deeper and understand why these companies will still be profitable next year, then one or two of them might be worthwhile to buy. The cycle suggests as they stay profitable the price earnings ratio will rise to the rest of the market.
There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.