Dividends and Petrobras seeks to raise nearly $27 billion by 2023

In Brazil, if you look offshore and under the sea, there are billions of barrels trapped below the salt line. The good news is everyone knows it is there, the bad news to bring the oil to the country will cost billions. Petrobras has been linked to many payments to politicians as it boosted its debt load of $88 billion. To lessen the debt load, and still keep investing according to an article by Gram Slattery and Alexander Alper of Reuters will try to raise $26.9 billion in asset sales and partnerships from now to 2023.

Petrobras in early December released its 5 year plan, and the assumption is oil prices will have a reasonable increase in prices to help the producer. Brazil also has a new government coming in that will need the oil revenues to balance the government books.

The oil company expects a rate of return on capital of 11% in 2020 and the ratio of net debt to earnings should fall to 1.5 from 2.5.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, state oil companies can be tremendous drivers of wealth as can be seen in Norway, but somewhere along the line it seems many countries do not spread the wealth as much as others. It seems Petrobras helped the political elite rather than the average consumer, but things can change as long as those billions of barrels lie under the ocean.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

Dividends and As silver prices skyrocket, the world’s largest jeweller Pandora plans switch to platinum

Every company in the world has cost inputs, some of it is people or human capital, some of it material costs. In terms of materials, often there are choices, but at some point something will be compromised to save costs. If a company saves costs, the better the potential margins which translates into profits which translates into dividends.

In an article by Eshe Nelson of the New York Times News Service, Pandora, the world’s largest jewelry brand by volume, typically buys 300 tons of silver every year. Silver prices have increased by so much that Pandora will use less silver in the charm bracelets and add platinum to hold down costs and keep prices similar to last year.

Silver at $80 an ounce is twice as expensive as it was a year ago.

Pandora, which prides itself on offering affordable luxury, the rapid increase in silver prices has affected its business model.

A year from now, the jeweler plans to have shifted at least half of its silver products to platinum plating on a metal alloy. The rise in platinum this year is about 3%.

Berta dee Pablos-Barbier, the CEO of Pandora said it is very risky for any business to be dependent – so highly – on one commodity price. Pandora is headquarters in Copenhagen, Denmark and last year had revenue of $5.1 billion up about 2%.

The company makes most of its jewelry in Thailand and sell a substantial amount in the US. A successful rebranding and embrace of lab-grown diamonds helped propel Pandora’s shares to a record high in early 2025, then came US tariff policies and shares have slumped. Pandora was diversifying from Thailand with new facilities in Vietnam, but President Trump imposed 20% tariffs from both countries.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, what are the choices? what are the options? for every profit-making company these questions drive cost savings on a regular basis. For most companies almost everything has a choice which companies whether they make profits or trying to make profits examine on a regular basis. It is natural for processed foods to change successful formulas of food processing to less varieties to save costs. In this example, the cost of the raw material increased and the company tries to use less while trying to increase the use of another mine.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

Dividends and US pushes for bigger slice of Congo’s mineral resources

If your portfolio contains mining companies of various sizes, you will be well aware that resources are spread across the Globe and when they are spread across the globe it means countries have many different political systems governing them. Some you likely you could live in, some countries you may want to visit, and others are way down on the list to visit, but they have mineral resources. As an investor, you leave it to the company to determine how it works with the government.

In an article by Geoffery York of the Globe and Mail, President Trump has declared the US needs to have US ownership of critical minerals in order for the county to be and continue to be a world leader. This is when it becomes tricky.

The Democratic Republic of Congo or the Congo is a major producer of cobalt and copper. China controls an estimated 70 – 80% of the copper and cobalt production in the Congo. There is a war which has killed thousands and forced millions to flee the Congo. In early February, President Trump and the President of Congo President Felix Tshisekedi signed an agreement for the US to do more in the Congo.

One of the largest global miners is Glencoe, it decided to sell 40% of its Congolese copper and cobalt assets to Orion Critical Mineral Consortium, in which the US government is a partner. The deal is for about $9 billion.

Orion CMC was formed to secure long-life, high-quality production of critical minerals while supporting resilient supply chains for the US and its allies, noted Oskar Lewnonski, CEO of Orion Resource Partners.

The Orion consortium is backed by 2 state-owned investment funds the US International Development Finance Corp and ADQ, s sovereign wealth fund in the UAE or United Arab Emirates.

Similar to stockpiles in oil the US has in the US, President Trump launched Project Vault, a $12 billion domestic stockpile of critical minerals.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, in the world of Wall Street, where money talks there is limited morality about what happens within countries as long as the interests of the company are protected. As an investor you can decide which companies you invest in or do not invest in, there are many companies that meet and surpass whatever value you have, which is why choice of Wall Street is a terrific thing. When the government invests in projects, issues of allocation of scarce taxpayer dollars come forth and is it the best thing to do in a capitalist society?

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

Dividends and Yum China’s loyalty program surpasses 590 million members

When you think about the phone and China, until smart phones were invented only a few select people had assess to phones. When smart phones were released, millions of people had access to phones. As the technology evolved, there was an app for a product, service, information. It became and continues to be part of the marketing of every product. This implies there are many apps to choose from.

In an article from Reuters, KFC’s parent company in China reported aggressive growth in its digital loyalty programs, exceeding 590 million members, or more than 40% of the population. Think about that 40% of Chinese smartphones have the KFC app to order KFC or Pizza Hut. 55% of sales come from the app.

In China there are about 13,000 locations for KFC, which Yum Brands says is the largest restaurant chain in the country.

Yum China CEO Joey Wat said 80 -90% of KPRO’s sales come from KFC loyalty members. In addition, the new AI ordering assistant rolled out is complete and has been used by 2 million members concentrated ordering breakfast and coffee.

Yum China said 265 million users are active, meaning they have been used in the last year.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, the more and more people have smartphones, the more and more people use them and the issue is if you invest in a company which appeals to a broad base of people, do they have your app? is it a good one? This is one more piece of homework you can do before you make your decision, because if you can have similar numbers as Yum Brand, 40% of the population downloaded the app and 75% are active users, you should be able to project a consistent income for the company.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

Dividends and Wealthy Americans spending more while poorer households face higher inflation, study shows

If you ever heard about the wealth gap, it exists and often it is stated as the difference in public companies the difference between the base salary of the CEO and the base salary of an average employee wage. Over the past few decades, it has become larger as opposed to the 1950’s. Whether that is good or bad, it is what exists.

In an article from the Associated Press, the notion of a K shaped economy where the priorities for each stroke of the K are being different. The upper stroke of the K is the higher-income Americans, who typically have a college degree, has ramped up spending more quickly than other consumers. The lower-income and more rural households faced higher inflation than the higher-income households. The study from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, focus on goods, excluding autos, and does not capture likely-spending by higher-income households on travel, restaurants and entertainment.

The K shaped economy is the upper-income Americans are fueling a disproportionate share of consumption that is the primary driver of the economy, while lower-income households see fewer gains. Poorer households in general often experience higher inflation, with a greater share of their spending being set aside for goods such as housing, groceries, and utilities.

The New York Fed’s data show households with incomes above $125,000 have boosted their spending 2.3% middle-income households between $40,000 and $125,000 have increased their spending by 1.6% and those under $40,000 increased their spending by 0.9%.

The New York Fed works with the analytics firm Numerator which tracks about 200,000 consumers on a monthly basis.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, as an investor you want to know who does your companies appeal to. Are they middle and upper or the broad base? Then you need to know the middle is always squeezed, how much room do they have? What will they spend on? As you go through your investments, you can see how a K shaped economy affects your companies.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

Dividends and What is the important number in your portfolio?

When you buy more dividend stocks, you are thinking long term and the magic of compound interest. Dividends and stock buybacks invariable help push up the P/E ratio which implies a high stock price. In the long run, the stocks will rise in value and dividends paid which increases the total returns.

In an article by Kevin Foley, there is a reason why foundations, family offices and long-term institutional investors continue to anchor their portfolios to returns in the 6.5% to 7.5% range. Do they lack ambition, given the stock market was up 12% plus? Target returns are not annual promises. They are long-run averages across full market cycles.

When long-term money managers set their returns, the first issue is what downside can we tolerate? how much liquidity do we need? what volatility can our spending policy survive?

Why ask those questions? The real enemy of long-term compounding is not a few years of underperformance. It is a deep drawdown that permanently impair capital and takes years to recover from. A portfolio that loses 40% does not need a good year to recover, it needs a 67% recovery just to get back to even. That is why the more capital you accumulate, the more you should worry about downside protection than upside participation.

In good times, it is easy to revise expectations upwards, add imprudent leverage, reach for complexity, tolerate illiquidity because it feels like nothing ever goes wrong. Then economic cycles happen – markets go up and down.

The solution is to continually design your investment program not to be impressed in any calendar year. You try to design the portfolio to be functional across very different regimes. You care less about the headlines and more about the probability of staying solvent, liquid and operational through it.

Good portfolios are not built by ranking strategies by last year’s returns. They are built by assigning different roles to different exposure and allowing each of those roles to its job across full market cycles.

It is very difficult not to chase whatever just worked. The discipline is to preserve the architecture that makes the long-run math work.

The most important number in your portfolio is not what it makes this year. It is what can reliably compound over the next 10, 20 years. And that number is always lower and far more meaningful than anyone wants to admit when markets feel easy.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, we all put money into the stock market expecting for more but there are multiple strategies to ensure wealth compounds over the years and allowing your money to make money, but trying not to lose money is the number one rule. Investing in dividends helps you do this, for it gives you a metric, if the dividend is not paid the market will have sent signals that a cut is coming and you can seek alternatives.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

Dividends and Amazon to cut 16,000 jobs in latest round of layoffs

For those who work at large companies, on one hand it should provide many opportunities within the company to grow your career. On the other hand, it is a large company and every once in a while, the company right sizes itself with large layoffs. If you work in economic development, having a large company relocate to your city is wonderful, however the downside is the company will right size itself every once in while. Everyone hopes it is the other person affected, because they add value, but it is a numbers situation.

In an article written by Karen Weise of The New York Times News Service, one of the largest private sector employers is Amazon. Recently Amazon announced they delivered 13 billion packages arriving the same or next day globally which was the good news. Corporately they also announced 16,000 employees around the world are being let go to trim bureaucracy and free up money for plans to spend on artificial intelligence.

The announcement of the cuts was expected as Amazon cut 14,000 jobs in October and relay plans to cut more in the first quarter of 2026 or after the holiday season of 2025.

Beth Galetti, Amazon’s senior VP of people experience and technology noted every team will continue to evaluate the ownership, speed and capacity to invent for customers, and to make adjustments as appropriate.

Amazon was expected to announce sales were over $211 billion and profits over $21 billion.

Amazon had 1,578,000 employees in the third quarter. Most of those were hourly workers in its warehouses and operations. At the warehouse level, Amazon has ambitious plans to replace more than half of million jobs with robots.

Amazon was on the path to spend $125 billion on data centers and other capital expenditures.

Amazon also announced the Amazon GO cashierless stores will be shut down, some will be replaced by Whole Foods Market locations. Amazon is expecting to open 100 new Whole Foods stores in the next few years.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, as an investor you want to see some layoffs in a large organization. At times there will be growth, but layoffs imply cost cutting and right sizing the business and the expectations to continue to earn profits. For investors, announcing layoffs can be a good thing as long as the expectation of management is it is an adjustment rather than cutting profit centers. If the company cuts profit centers, find alternatives.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

Dividends and Boeing swings to 4th quarter profit helped by unit sale, stronger deliveries

The number one company which helps the US selling products to the world or export sales is Boeing. Their planes fly in every country in the world and for every country, have an airline or more than one is very important for the country. As the world continues to fly, Boeing is there to sell planes.

In an article from Reuters, Boeing made a 4th quarter profit driven by the sale of its digital aviation services, as well as rising jet output and stronger deliveries.

The company continued to increase the output of its two most popular jetliners – the 737 Max and 787, which helped it to produce a positive free cash flow.

Boeing made 42 planes a month of its 737 Max and want to increase that number to 47 a month. Boeing produces 8 787 a month.

Boeing earned $8.22 billion or $10.23 a share for the quarter, compared with a loss of $3.86 billion or $5.46 a share last year.

Boeing’s revenues for the 4th quarter rose 57% to $23.95 billion

Linking to dividend paying stocks, a few years ago, a door fell off of the 737 Max flight and Boeing had to ground its fleet and check all the doors. The stock price went down; it has taken a few years to regain its profitability and that is a lesson for everyone. For a good company, when the stock falls, put it on your watchlist and follow developments. Think about the sales after the season is down, stores need new inventory. There will be a time delay be

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

Dividends and GM predicts tariffs could cost it $4 billion this year

If you had the pleasure of listening to President Trump speak at one of his rallies, you will hear that he loves tariffs. The rest of the world is not so sure because unlike President Trump, companies and consumers pay the tariffs. Tariffs are paid by the importer of the good to the Treasury, the importer then either/or has to eat the tariff cutting down on their margins or the company using the good has to increase prices to offset the tariff in order to receive a healthy margin. Generally, the largest companies can do this the best.

In an article by Eric Atkins of Reuters, GM expects tariffs could cost it up to $4 billion this after paying $3.1 billion last year.

GM’s CFO Paul Jacobson, said the 2025 tariff total was less than predicted and 40% of the amount was offset by actions that including cost reductions and moving production to avoid the import taxes.

GM has reduced shifts in Ontario and boosted production in Fort Wayne, Indiana for truck assembly. It has retooled a plant in Orion, Michigan to make more pickup trucks. The production of the Buick Envision SUV has moved from China to the US and the Chevrolet Equinox and Blazer are being moved from Mexico to Spring Hill, Tennessee.

For 2026, GM believes the 2025 tariff number will fall.

Government policies concerning electric vehicles meant a $6 billion. Part of the total is $1.8 billion for closing a plant to build BrightDrop electric vans. Contract cancellations and supplier settlements account for the rest of the charge.

For the 4th quarter, GM beat analysts’ estimates with pretax earnings was $2.8 billion compared with $2.51 billion a year ago. Earnings per share was $2.51 versus $2.22 a year earlier.

GM is expecting an annual adjusted core profit of between $13 billion and $15 billion in 2026 which will likely be higher than analysts’ expectations of $13.4 billion.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, one of the reasons to buy the buy companies is their ability to adjust for government policies. Often government policies are more favorable to companies, but governments can throw in surprises. The can is what rattles the markets, but if the street sees companies adapting, then the companies can still make profits.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

Dividends and EU sales of fully electric cars surpass gas-only vehicles for the first time

In Europe, the political climate is to be on the good side of climate change. Whether you believe it or not, the climate is changing. One of the ways it is changing is the ice at the polar caps is melting, this is a good thing if you want to move goods from Asia to Europe, the distance drops dramatically. The not so good aspect is during parts of winter, the polar caps no longer contain most of the Arctic air and it goes further south. Having weather in the northeast of 14 degrees is good for the northeast, in the middle of winter in Florida it is cold.

In an article by Alessandro Parodi of Reuters, sales of fully electric cars surpassed those of gasoline-only vehicles in the EU for the month of December. Data from auto industry group ACEA reported that hybrids held onto the largest overall share in the market.

The numbers were hybrids 44% share, fully electric share 22.6% and gas powered at 22.5%.

Competition from Chinese brands such as BYD, Changan and Geely is fierce even as European companies such as VW and BMW roll out new models.

Total EU car sales rose 5.8% to one million vehicles in December, and by 1.8% to 10.8 million in 2025.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, people buy vehicles for a host of reasons, at one time it was their status as seen by other drivers. Concerns are maintenance costs such as fuel and the oil changes; the color; functionality; and a host of other reasons. There is no perfect solution, gasoline-only burns fuel, but electricity needs fuel to generate electricity, but consumers make choices and industry must pay attention to consumer choice or be left out.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.