In every war, it is easy to see the losers, those fighting the war, but on the opposite side there will be winners.
In an article by Simon Romero and Rebecca F Elliot of The New York Times News Service, one of the winners is the country of Guyana. The country is located beside Venezuela in South America.
One of the reasons it is a winner, is ExxonMobil has been drilling offshore and has discovered very large oil fields.
The capital of Guyana is Georgetown, and it is seeing luxury trappings of wealth such as more Ferraris and Lamborghinis creep through traffic, new steakhouses and opulent weddings are the talk of the town.
The country has 1 million people and is estimated to take in more than $6.5 billion in oil revenues and that will increase. Oil production is about 900,000 barrels per day and that is expected to increase to 1.7 million a day by 2030.
Economic growth reached a staggering 33% in the first half of the year, according to government data, making Guyana the fastest growing economies in the world.
Many in Guyana complain that a small elite is amassing fortunes while the rest face rising inflation, rampant corruption, a housing shortage and substandard public services.
The World Bank has noted Guyana’s rise to high-income income status. Annual per capital income stands at $32,000 a year higher than all of its neighboring countries.
The Iran war’s energy shock has revealed a paradox: Guyana produces lots of oil but lacks the infrastructure to turn it into fuels like gasoline and diesel. Reliant on imports, Guyana faces high electricity costs and briefly ran short of fuel this spring.
President Irfaan Ali is trying to do the right thing for its citizens such as legislation requiring foreign energy companies to utilize local businesses and workers; a creation of a sovereign wealth fund with strict limits on what leaders can immediately withdraw (Norway has strict which they actually embraced so the fund is the biggest in the world).
Linking to dividend paying stocks, what is not to like about a market which has rising disposable income, all the other things that come with it. With a population of 1 million, it is not a large market for mass produced goods, but luxury brands will be found in the country. If the country can stick to its rule for the sovereign fund and add infrastructure to benefit the people of the country, businesses will flock to the country because all the necessary supports will be in place. In the meantime, watching how the country develops in the next few years will be interesting.
There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.