After people have earned some money, they traditionally spent money on housing, food, transportation and then what’s left savings, investments, vacations, and all sorts of other things. In the housing and food category, there are companies which should sell a given amount of goods and services no matter the economy. As the economy improves, there are more options to buy, as the economy slows it is back to the normal things because we all need to have someone to stay and eat something. Companies operating in these areas are known as defensive, they fight for market share but the pie is not necessarily continuing growing.
Ian Tam of Morningstar examined the sector with the following criteria:
market capitalization – greater than $ 3 billion
three month or quarterly estimate revision ( today’s consensus estimate vs what it was 3 months ago)
industry relative dividend yield ( an example is 3.3 which means it is yielding 3.3% higher than the median stock in the same sector)
forward return on equity
return on total assets
Company Mkt Cap Industry Rel Forward Forward Return 3 Mon Est Div
($ Bil) Div Yield % ROE % on Total Assets Revis % Yield
Philip Morris 135.479 3.3 49,850 21.7 -0.3 4.8
Altria Group 119.337 2.5 222 19.9 0.5 4.0
McDonalds 97.876 2.2 62,000 15.9 1.3 3.2
Colgate-Palm 59.179 0.9 31,000 21.8 0.0 2.3
L Brands 20.115 2.4 40,100 15.2 -0.4 3.4
Pepsi Co 145,411 1.5 59 10.1 0.4 3.0
Hershey 21.088 1.0 120 17.8 1.0 2.5
B A Tobacco 98.893 2.2 91 13.1 -8.2 3.7
Unilever 111.848 1.9 45 10.6 0.0 3.4
Kellogg 25.404 1.4 66 9.0 -0.1 2.9
Mr. Tam’s list goes to the top 20 with the following companies GM, Packaging Corp of America, Clorox, Diageo, Nordstrom, Sysco, Target, P&G, Mead Johnson Nutrition and Regal Entertainment
Linking to dividend paying stocks, there is many choices for which is the best company for your investment dollars. Some of them with depend on your ethics, some of it depends on where you live, but the key is there are alternatives. For the ones you buy and use the products you can see if others are continuing to buy the products and if this is reflected in the quarterly results. If you have a basket of these stocks the total return over the past 20 years would be about 12% which is a little higher than buying and holding an index fund.
There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.