As an investor, it is hard not to like Jim Cramer and if you read his books you will gain plenty of ideas on not losing money and more importantly how to make money. He wrote a book called Get Rich Carefully published by Penguin Books, New York, 2013. One of the wonderful things Mr. Cramer does is tries to ensure you do your homework before investing. You have money and what to invest in is the question – if you are not sure try a low fee S&P 500 Index which is the bench mark all the money managers are trying to beat and if they do not you have done better. If you want to invest in individual stocks, then you will need to do your homework.
The first stage of homework is using the great amount of information which exists on the internet. Mr. Cramer believes first you should with a macro or wide view and then narrow it down. Ask yourself where do see the economy going in two years time? How about one year? In the area where you gain your income – what about that area?
After determining where the world is going – you can listen to some conference calls from company’s whose skill is in making that judgment will determine their success. For example – if you been by a construction site – you likely have seen the yellow CAT signs; it turns out that company is called Caterpillar and they are very good at selling heavy equipment and truck engines around the world. Why is this important? Caterpillar’s conference calls will tell you how they are doing around the world – are they selling more in China? (one of the world’s biggest economy) or is slowing down? What are the big miners of the world doing? Selling more truck engines – the domestic economy? There are other companies which give you a great indication of what their customers are doing with their money. Are margins being squeezed or they are making less money? In the book Mr. Cramer lists Alcoa for insights into the aircraft business; GE for energy savings, health care and aerospace; United Technologies for its elevator service – are high rises being built? 3M has a global glass division which many laptops use.
Each sector of the market has a core metric at its heart:
Aerospace – what is the backlog?
Agriculture – what does future contracts for the individual crops
Airlines – fares, fees, seat miles and fuel costs
Apparel – raw costs and inventories
Asset Managers – assets under administration
Autos – their percentage of seasonally adjust annual rate of cars sold
Banks – net interest margins – how much can they make off their deposits
Brokers – employee compensation – how much is the firm sharing with their employees
Casinos – the handle or total amount bet and the drop which is total amount exchanged for chips
Chemicals – raw costs and volume growth
Coal – inventory, if increases stock goes down
Consumer Packaged Goods – margins and organic growth
Cruises – net yield
Defense – backlogs
Diagnostics and Devices – approvals from the FDA
Drinks – sales volumes
Drugs – what is in the pipeline?
Engineering and Construction – backlog
Food Stocks – cost of the package; new successful launches
Footwear – future orders which underlines growth and product orders
Gold – finding and developing costs
HMOs – the medical loss ratio: the ratio of total losses versus total premiums paid
Hospitals – the reimbursement fates from the federal government
Hotels – the revenue from available room or hotel’s average daily room rate x occupancy rate
Housing – backlog numbers, sales and how much they make per home
Insurance – the combined ratio (payout ratio) and the quality of assets the company owns.
Internet – traffic acquisition costs
Media – advertising and subscription dollars
Minerals – cost of extraction and cost to send to the market
Oils – oil cost replacement
Oil Service – the Baker Hughes rig count
Paper – the price of contertainboard
Pipelines – can it raise its dividend?
Telecommunications – focus on the churn rate – winning and losing customers
Utilities – the yield
Linking to dividend paying stocks, Mr. Cramer strongly suggests you stay with the best companies if you want to get rich carefully. Always choose the best companies and in the long run they will make money for you through the cycles.
There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions