In every country, traditions develop over the years and people generally like them. Why the traditions develop is a different story but in general, what people eat has developed over many years. The food traditions typically developed around the landscape – in moderate temperatures where beef cattle roam and there is plenty of land and food, people eat beef. In climates which are have a lot of moisture, people developed and harvested rice. Often as people move around the country and the world, those habits will change but in times of festivals they come out again.

In an article by Candelaria Grimberg of Reuters, if you think about the country of Argentina, you likely will think about temperate weather, wide open plains and lots of beef cattle. Not surprisingly, beef has been a stable food item for generations. Many Argentine home have built in grills to cook the beef. Steakhouses dot street corners around Buenos Aires and barbecues can be found at constructions sites and protests.

Beef is an integral part of the Argentine diet. Looking at the diet of a country and examining it for trends can tell you what the average person in the street is worried about. Argentina’s economy has been going on a rough patch with triple digit inflation (about 300%) and a recession. While new President Javier Milei is pushing through austerity measures to lessen the government’s role in the economy, the economy is not doing well.

One of the places you see it, is in the butcher shop. People are still buying beef, but they are choosing less expensive cuts and looking for alternatives for their protein. There are alternatives as much of the world lives without meat, but it takes a changing economy to do the alternatives.

Beef demand is down, for the cattle industry the good news is exports have risen with the biggest customer China has increased buyer of Argentina beef.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, all areas of the world have traditions and some of the traditions will benefit particular stocks. For your investments, for the biggest markets, what traditions help continue to sell the goods and services? Why would that change? by looking at people’s traditions it can help you understand the overall economy and why they continue to buy the goods.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

If you have flown from coast to coast, you may have been surprised about the prices and wondered where are the cheap fares? You may have heard for the past few years, it was possible to fly from London, UK to Venice, Italy for the price of the pizza. There were many stories about people going away for the weekend and the price of the flight was the least of their concerns.

In an article by Eric Reguly of the Globe and Mail, the cycle of economics using the airline industry is explained. The first step was in Europe every country believed and did have their own national airline for the health of their economy. Most lost money and after numerous years, deregulation or cutting the expenses of the airline was the cry by the politicians and citizens. Deregulation happened and 20 new airlines started operations and many them competed on the same air routes.

When the plane leaves the runway, it either has people in its seats or not, has cargo to be flown or not. To ensure passengers were in the seats, fares went down and people flew more, although over time fees started to increase. What was good or great for the passenger was not good for the company flying the planes. Airline consolidation is under way and that translates into less competition and rising market share for the big incumbents.

An example of the above is the US, there was deregulation and the system has an effective 4 airline oligopoly. The Big 4 are Delta, Southwest, American and United. The combined passenger percentage is 70% with each holding a 16 -18% market share, according to the US Department of Transportation. In 5th place is Alaska Airlines with 6%.

A recent IATA, the International Air Transport Association found that in the US to reach 50% of scheduled seat capacity, 3 airlines were needed. In Europe, it took the top 10 airlines to reach 50% capacity. It was not surprising European fares were less expensive.

The European market is now consolidating – Germany’s Lufthansa bought 41% stake in Italy’s ITA, the successor to bankrupt Alitalia.

IAG which owns British Airways, Iberia, Vueling and Aer Lingus has agreed to buy 80% of Spain’s Air Europa.

Air France-KLM wants to buy 20% of Scandinavian carrier SAS.

The Portugal government has put up its airline for sale, expect bids from Europe’s big airlines.

The airline bosses’ say consolidation means the bigger airlines profitable allowing them to renew their fleets and offer reliable, expanded services. They do not say fares are going up.

The consolidation of Europe’s airlines will mean by 2025, the top 5 groups will control about 73% of the market.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, in every industry there tends to be competition which is good for the consumer, but eventually consolidation which is good for the companies. As an investor, you want to own the industry stock in the consolidation phase as the companies are profitable but compete on the margins.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

If you think about Amazon Prime members, which is 230 million people worldwide, and membership includes free shipping. As a Prime member you may start small, but soon rather than going to a store and looking for an item, you will likely see it on Amazon and it will seem easier to order it. Billions of packages are sent and equally Amazon makes billions of dollars from the subscription in 2023 it was a little over $40 billion. For years, if you ordered something, the package needed to have filler and that was supplied by plastic air pillows.

In an article by Michelle Chapman of the Associated Press, Amazon has announced it is shifting from plastic air pillows to recycled paper. The reason is two-fold: it is environmentally better and for Amazon the paper works better. (for a company the size of Amazon, it needed to be less expensive too).

Amazon began transition away from plastic air pillows in October at an automated fulfilment center in Ohio. The company was able to test and learn which resulted in a transition process including changing out machinery and training employees on new systems and machines.

During the testing, Amazon discovered the 100% recycled paper offers the same, if not better protection during shipping compared with plastic air pillows.

Linking to dividend paying companies, it is a long process to change processes and while the worthwhile goal of being environmentally friendly is good, for companies the cost to change machines and training people is more important. It took time to change from air pillows to paper and that is the way it should be. Companies are always examining process to find cost savings, hopefully the cost savings meats other corporate goals and the result can be relayed to the public to improve goodwill. There is a reason why it takes time in a large organization.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

Every country loves to have a surplus of trade going to other countries for foreign exchange and that is what free trade is important issue to every President of every country. The President of the country will travel to every country where the host country spends goods in order to ensure good relations and hopefully free trade. The other country has business people who over time develop competing goods and they believe theirs should be sold without tariffs.

In an article by Zhang Yan, Joe Cash and Christina Amann of Reuters, for decades European vehicles have been sold in China, but Chinese have built up expertise in EV vehicles. These Chinese automakers have urged Beijing to hike tariffs on imported European gasoline-powered cars in retaliation for Brussels’s curbs on exports of Chinese-made EV, the state backed Global Times newspaper reported.

China’s Ministry of Commerce organized a meeting attended by Science Applications International Corp., BYD, BMW, Volkswagen, Porsche, Mercedes-Benz, Stellantis NV and Renault SA. The main aim of the meeting was to put pressure on Europe and lobby against the tariffs the EU announced to shield its car industry from Chinese competition.

The Chinese auto market is the 3rd largest in the world after the US and Europe or billions of dollars are at stake. EU car exports to China were worth $28.5 billion in 2023, while the bloc bought about $14 billion of electric vehicles from China according to EU statistics agency figures. China accounts for 30% of German carmaker sales, which also accounts for employment and economic activity in various cities or many vested political interests.

The EU would imposed up to a 38.1% duty on imported Chinese EV. This is one of the reasons companies similar to BYD have announced plans to build plants in Europe and Mexico.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, tariffs and free trade are very important to companies to sell their goods beyond their borders. The issues are complex and every country believes in free trade as long as in balance the trade helps their businesses more than it hurts them. Over time every country’s policy lines shift depending on their economy and how it is doing, which is why tariffs are complex. Companies prefer relative stable legislation then they can allocate resources (build plants) in relationship to the tariffs and return on investments. If a company sees the competition bending the rules, one of the many ways to maintain its advantages is to see tariffs and free trade rules to fight the competition.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

If you own more than one stock, when the time for companies’ Annual Meetings, there is a tendency to vote for as management recommends. For some companies, there is a button to choose what management recommends or the slate and in other companies to vote means to go through all the motions. One can imagine most institutional shareholders, unless the company is losing money, tend to vote for management. On the retail side, there are reasons why you own the company and the reasons for voting or not voting will be a little more complex than institutions. Thus is it not usual for the nominees to the Board of Directors receive well over 90% of the vote, often it is in the 97 to 99% range.

In an article by River Akira Davis of the New York Times News Service, when Toyota released its voting results, one person received 71.9% while the others received in the 95% plus range. The one person is Akio Toyoda, the grandson of the founder of Toyota and the Chairman of the Board for the past 14 years. Typically, in the past, Mr. Toyoda would receive 96% plus of the vote.

Ahead of the vote, several institutional shareholders had planned to vote against Mr. Toyoda. Andres Schelde, chief investment officer of Akademiker Pension said better governance is needed at the Board level.

Mr. Toyoda is not stepping back from the company and noted he would assume responsibility for addressing the problems the led to Toyota violating vehicle-certification tests.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, even though many large companies have multiple shareholders, there tends to be shares in friendly hands that very few boards ever lose votes. If there is a loss, the vote tends to closer to 90% or less rather than 96% plus. Boards take the voting seriously and present the results in news releases and posts on the website after they have taken place. To have a vote in the 70% means Mr. Toyoda, even though he is the grandson of the founder likely needs to consider letting someone else be Chair.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

If you are a regular person investing in the stock market invariably you will have a combination of index funds or mutual funds and individual stocks. The reason you need both is because the best stock to buy tend to be closer to $100 or more and if you have limited funds such as $1,000, you can only buy 10 shares. You need the company to do very well to make lots of money. With an index fund, as the markets over the course of the year performs to expectations, you assets will increase. The secret to great performance is to be invested in the handful of companies that are leading the market and at some point you will need to sell some or most of the holdings as another sector does even better. The way to minimize the risk is to ensure the companies that you are buying pay dividends to reward you because the stocks will go up and down with the cycles of the economy.

If you are a retail investor, you will likely spend more time watching and learning about the stock market, while some of your friends are content to park their money in index fund or mutual funds and that is okay. How does a retail investor stay current with the trends on the market? the same way everyone does – social media.

In an article by Preet Banerjee of the Globe and Mail, recently read a study that examined the impact of social dynamics on retail investor trading behavior helps to quantify how these social influencers affect performance. Not surprising the results are not good for the investor, it is good for the fees made in trading.

One of the key aspects of the research was to look at something called upward social comparison or the tendency to compare ourselves with someone who appears to be doing better.

In the study, participants were divided into two groups: one group was presented with information about top traders, while the other served as a control group. All the participants had better than average knowledge of investing. The researchers used a dynamic trading simulation that mimicked trading activity on real world online platforms to observe the participants’ behavior.

The results – the group exposed to top traders took significantly more risk, traded more actively and had higher overall trading volume compared to the control group.

The participants who traded more actively, did not match the best traders’ performance leading to decreased satisfaction with their own performance.

The social trading can be completely automated and big business. For example, eToro advertises a copy trader feature which allows you to have your account execute trades that mirror another user in real-time proportion to your account. The most copied account is a former trader managing his own account and his 23,700 followers.

There is a large role in social media in learning about stocks and investing and that is the good news. The harder part is realizing that one of the most important tasks of a retail investor is to take your time, learn and invest for the long-term will minimizing your risks.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, the reason you buy these stocks is the price of the stock tends to trade at a higher multiple than the rest of the market and every quarter the company pays you money to your account. With that money you can reinvest in more stock, you can buy something new, use in your daily lifestyle or your have options. The best traders have multiple strategies and making a little everyday, while trading millions of stocks is a good return. Most of us can do that, what we can do is try not to lose money or limit risk while enjoy a good return on your money.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

Across the world there are disasters and when they happen the government of all levels open the piggy bank and ensure the people will get through the disaster. On a personal level, it is your rainy day fund or something of that nature. Governments have resources backed by taxes and if desired they can marshal those resources to bring things to what is considered normal.

In an article by Lea Skene and Brian Witte of the Associate Press, in March a freighter hit a support of the bridge and the bridge fell on the ship and into the shipping channel in Baltimore, Maryland. The port has over the years become the leading bridge to import and export cars and farm machinery or very important to the manufacturing industry across the US.

The first step towards recovery was the use of $60 million in federal emergency funds to open 3 smaller channels to have some ships use the port.

When the port was shut down, thousands of longshoremen, truckers and small businesses were affected by the collapse. State officials helped establish several relief programs to keep people employed and business afloat in the aftermath.

Officials estimated the salvage operations will cost up to $75 million, while the Coast Guard has spent $24 million to open the main channel. A new bridge is estimated to cost $2 billion, funding is still awaiting approval from Congress.

The shipping channel in Baltimore is now about 50 feet deep and 400 feet wide, although in is widest area it is 700 feet wide. The depth and width is enough to accommodate the largest commercial vehicles.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, we all know that disaster will and do happen, and when they happen on a large level the government is often willing and able to help mitigate the worst of the disaster effects. The important element is it takes time and people will be affected. The good news is the resources that are available to help bring back and likely improve the situation, in a disaster many things can be improved particularly if the federal government is paying the bill.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

If you think about Apple, one thing that will you may think about is people love their apple products. If people love the products, they are very likely to be loyal to the products if and when they upgrade. For Apple that reputational advantage is almost something you can take to the bank. In recent months, the news broadcasts and print stories have been highlighting AI, but you did not often hear Apple’s name. Apple traditionally is not have the first product on the market, but in their users mind, they often have the best products.

In an article by Aditya Soni and Stephen Nellis of Reuters, Apple unveiled its new Apple Intelligence technology across its suite of apps including Siri and partnering with OpenAI to bring ChatGPT to its devices.

The AI features were announced at its Worldwide Developers Conference. This conference is an annual event and Apple showcases its own apps and operating systems as well as to show developers new tools they will be able to use in their apps. The developers of the apps are encouraged to use AI in their apps.

Apple has sold over 1 billion iPhones and the newest phone to come in the fall will have AI features. The potential for Apple is those billion users of iPhones will upgrade to new iPhones powering the iPhone revenue stream as well as the services that are offered on iPhone.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, these companies typically make profits every year and there are very practical reasons. Yes they are good companies, but if customers are loyal, then they continually buy the products and services. In a company similar to Apple, it has the potential that half the users will upgrade and if they upgrade the recurring revenues for Apple will allow them to make profits and some may see the company as a growth stock which pushes up the price.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.

For all young people the barrier to entry to pay basketball or soccer (football) is very low. A ball is needed and the town or city provides the field to play in. If a youngster falls in love with the sport, there are professional leagues to dream about. The barrier to entry means many people will be exposed to the sport and as they grow up will be the primary targets of watching the sports on TV. While only a very few will be able to make a living, as long as the knees are good, many will play for years to come and then possibly with their children. This is a ready made market for the professional leagues to monetize.

In an article from Reuters, the NBA is closing in on media deals with Comcast owned by NBC, ESPN owned by Disney and Amazon that would generate over $76 billion in media revenue over 11 years.

Rights to the widely watched professional basketball league are a prized possession for media companies. Sport content continues to attract a reliable and loyal audience at a time when traditional TV businesses are losing millions of subscribers to cord-cutting or people no longer subscribe to cable channels.

NBC would pay $2.5 billion a year for 100 games with half on Comcast’s Peacock streaming services. Amazon would pay $1.8 billion a year for regular season and conference finals. ESPN would pay $2.6 billion a year including the NBA Finals. ESPN is in the process of launching its direct-to-consumer streaming service in 2025.

Linking to dividend paying stocks, the NBA is the premier professional basketball league and its starting players all earn a million dollars a year plus. More importantly for the owners, because the media deals continue to increase over the years, the franchises are worth more every year. The process starts with a lack of barrier to entry to be exposed to the game and as more money flows into the system, the barriers to entry at the highest levels is very restrictive. If you can find companies that follow the same pattern, then they can deliver profits and pay dividends.

There are more questions than answers, till the next time – to raising questions.